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Imagine a economy balancing on a tightrope—consistent fuel sales on one side, plummeting industrial demand on the other. In January 2025, Pakistan’s oil marketing companies (OMCs) recorded sales of 1.38 million tons, mirroring *last year’s numbers*. But dig deeper, and the story gets intriguing. While overall petroleum sales grew 4% YoY during the first seven months of FY25, EX-FO (furnace oil) sales nosedived by 68% in January alone. What’s driving this paradox? Let’s decode the trends reshaping Pakistan’s energy landscape.  




 January 2025 Snapshot: Stability Meets Volatility 

- **OMC Sales Hold Steady**: For the second consecutive year, January OMC sales hit 1.38 million tons—a sign of stable consumer demand despite economic pressures.  
- **Petrol’s Quiet Rise**: MS petrol offtake inched up 1% YoY to 0.62 million tons. (Fun fact: That’s enough fuel to circle Pakistan’s coastline 12,000 times!)  
- **EX-FO’s Freefall**: Furnace oil sales crashed to 0.06 million tons, down 68% YoY. Blame it on industries shifting to cheaper alternatives like solar or LNG.  



The 7-Month FY25 Story: Growth Amidst Contradictions

- **4% YoY Growth**: Total petroleum product sales reached 9.41 million tons vs. 9.07 million tons in the same period last year.  
- **HSD Diesel’s Quiet Dominance**: Though not highlighted, diesel (HSD) remains the backbone of transport and agriculture, with a 5% MoM rise in January.  
- **EX-FO’s Yearly Struggle**: Cumulative furnace oil sales fell 46% YoY to 0.41 million tons. Could policy changes or renewable energy adoption be culprits?  

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 MoM Surprises: A January Boom

January 2025 saw an 8% month-on-month sales jump. Key drivers:  
- **10% MoM Spike in Petrol**: Holiday travel and eased fuel prices likely fueled this.  
- **EX-FO’s 40% MoM Rebound**: A temporary industrial boost? Or just year-end stockpiling?  

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Q: Why did EX-FO sales drop so sharply YoY?**  

  *A: Industries are ditching furnace oil for cost-effective alternatives like LNG and renewables. Government policies promoting cleaner energy also play a role.*  

Q: What does “OMC” mean?

  *A: Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) handle petroleum storage, transport, and sales. Think of them as the middlemen ensuring fuel reaches your local station.*  

-How does cement sales growth (like the 14% spike in January) tie into petroleum trends?

  *A: Cement production relies heavily on diesel and electricity. Increased construction activity = higher HSD demand

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